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Combining school-catchment area models with geostatistical models for analysing school survey data from low-resource settings: Inferential benefits and limitations

Publié dansSpatial statistics, vol. 51, 100679
Date de publication2022-10
Résumé

School-based sampling has been used to inform targeted re-sponses for malaria and neglected tropical diseases. Standard geostatistical methods for mapping disease prevalence use the school location to model spatial correlation, which is question-able since exposure to the disease is more likely to occur in the residential location. In this paper, we propose to overcome the limitations of standard geostatistical methods by introducing a modelling framework that accounts for the uncertainty in the location of the residence of the students. By using cost distance and cost allocation models to define spatial accessibility and in absence of any information on the travel mode of students to school, we consider three school catchment area models that assume walking only, walking and bicycling and, walking and motorized transport. We illustrate the use of this approach using two case studies of malaria in Kenya and compare it with the standard approach that uses the school locations to build geostatistical models. We argue that the proposed modelling framework presents several inferential benefits, such as the abil-ity to combine data from multiple surveys some of which may also record the residence location, and to deal with ecological bias when estimating the effects of malaria risk factors. However, our results show that invalid assumptions on the modes of travel to school can worsen the predictive performance of geostatistical models. Future research in this area should focus on collecting information on the modes of transportation to school which can then be used to better parametrize the catchment area models.

eng
Mots-clés
  • School survey
  • Disease mapping
  • Catchment area models
  • Missing locations
  • Model-based geostatistics
  • prevalence
Citation (format ISO)
MACHARIA, Peter M. et al. Combining school-catchment area models with geostatistical models for analysing school survey data from low-resource settings: Inferential benefits and limitations. In: Spatial statistics, 2022, vol. 51, p. 100679. doi: 10.1016/j.spasta.2022.100679
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Article (Published version)
Identifiants
ISSN du journal2211-6753
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Informations techniques

Création29.06.2022 17:47:00
Première validation29.06.2022 17:47:00
Heure de mise à jour16.03.2023 06:56:47
Changement de statut16.03.2023 06:56:46
Dernière indexation17.01.2024 20:55:42
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