Master
English

The impact of droughts on social conflicts in Central America over the period 1990-2015: spatial and temporal disaggregated analysis

Master program titleMaster universitaire en sciences de l'environnement (MUSE)
Defense date2021
Abstract

Central America is one of the regions that is most vulnerable to hydrometeorological events and social conflicts. Recently, drought events have become more frequent and are exacerbating pre-existing factors that drive social conflicts. This study focuses on the spatio-temporal relationship between unusually dry conditions and social conflicts in Central America. To describe this relationship, I developed a long-term (1990-2015) monthly panel dataset at the geographic cell level (0.5 x 0.5 degrees). The results do not show a statistically significant relationship between negative water balances (unusually dry conditions) and social conflicts in general. Nevertheless, there is some evidence that suggests that the risk of social conflicts increases when unusually dry conditions occur in locations characterized by limited water supply.

Keywords
  • Conflit
  • Sécheresse
  • Changement climatique
  • Conflicts
  • Droughts
  • Climate change
Citation (ISO format)
VALDEZ GONZALEZ, Isabel Carolina. The impact of droughts on social conflicts in Central America over the period 1990-2015: spatial and temporal disaggregated analysis. Master, 2021.
Main files (1)
Master thesis
accessLevelRestricted
Identifiers
  • PID : unige:151276
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Technical informations

Creation10/03/2021 08:59:00
First validation10/03/2021 08:59:00
Update16/03/2023 00:27:40
Status update16/03/2023 00:27:39
Last indexation31/10/2024 21:56:29
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