The impact of droughts on social conflicts in Central America over the period 1990-2015: spatial and temporal disaggregated analysis

Diplôme Master The impact of droughts on social conflicts in Central America over the period 1990-2015: spatial and temporal disaggregated analysis eng 2021 author Valdez Gonzalez Isabel Carolina 802141 director Goyette Stéphane 0000-0001-5199-5974 647994 director Kasparian Jérôme 0000-0003-2398-3882 662563 director Lucchetti Jérémy 788145 Central America is one of the regions that is most vulnerable to hydrometeorological events and social conflicts. Recently, drought events have become more frequent and are exacerbating pre-existing factors that drive social conflicts. This study focuses on the spatio-temporal relationship between unusually dry conditions and social conflicts in Central America. To describe this relationship, I developed a long-term (1990-2015) monthly panel dataset at the geographic cell level (0.5 x 0.5 degrees). The results do not show a statistically significant relationship between negative water balances (unusually dry conditions) and social conflicts in general. Nevertheless, there is some evidence that suggests that the risk of social conflicts increases when unusually dry conditions occur in locations characterized by limited water supply. Conflit Sécheresse Changement climatique Conflicts Droughts Climate change Dewey 333.7-333.9 Dewey 500.2 Master universitaire en sciences de l'environnement (MUSE) 18 Institut des sciences de l'environnement 0DB 35 Groupe de physique appliquée 135 false 803 Groupe Kasparian 943 ISE Climat 940 ISE Pôle Economie et management 941 ISE Pôle Informatique environnementale 938 ISE Pôle Sciences 246b3b53-d806-4bc9-bb58-e617128fb1f3 Master thesis Restricted THESIS_ISABEL_VALDEZ.pdf 5498980 application/pdf restrictedAccess Centres et instituts / Institut des sciences de l'environnement Faculté des sciences / Section de physique / Groupe de physique appliquée

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The impact of droughts on social conflicts in Central America over the period 1990-2015: spatial and temporal disaggregated analysis				2021	117	10

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Valdez Gonzalez, Isabel Carolina