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Short‐term dynamics in issue ownership and electoral choice formation

Published in Swiss Political Science Review. 2018, vol. 24, no. 4, p. 423-441
Abstract In light of the increased volatility in party preference and alleged importance of issue voting, the scarce knowledge about how short‐term stability and change in issue ownership perceptions influence stability and change of party choice is puzzling. This paper fills a gap by examining whether and to what extent the three pathways of electoral choice formation (activation, conversion and reinforcement) occur in line with the dynamics of issue competence evaluations. Our analysis of panel data from the 2015 Swiss election study shows that the stability and change in issue ownership perceptions is highly consequential. Citizens who change or maintain their competence attribution in favor of a party during the electoral campaign are more likely to activate, convert or reinforce their vote for that party. The results regarding the conditional effects of issue salience are more mixed, but not less interesting.
Keywords Competence issue ownershipShort-term dynamicsElectoral choiceIssue salience
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Swiss National Science Foundation: 100017_16548
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PETITPAS, Adrien, SCIARINI, Pascal. Short‐term dynamics in issue ownership and electoral choice formation. In: Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Politikwissenschaft, 2018, vol. 24, n° 4, p. 423-441. doi: 10.1111/spsr.12328 https://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/unige:112917

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Deposited on : 2019-01-16

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