Scientific article
English

Do Public Real Estate Returns Really Lead Private Returns?

Published inJournal of portfolio management, vol. 41, no. 6, no. Special Real Estate Issue, p. 105-117
Publication date2015
Abstract

In this article, the authors use sector-level unlevered real estate investment trust (REIT) and direct real estate data to study whether the “escrow lag” in the recording of private market prices could explain the observed lead–lag relationship between REITs and direct real estate markets. They find evidence of REIT returns leading private returns in the office and retail sectors even after catering for a 90-day escrow lag. These lead–lag relationships are due to the slow reaction of private market returns to shocks in REIT returns, the risk premium, and consumer sentiment. In contrast, the authors do not observe such a lead–lag relationship in the apartment and industrial sectors. The findings have implications regarding portfolio allocation, return predictability, and recommended shifts in the allocation between private and public real estate during crisis periods.

Keywords
  • Private Real Estate
  • REITs
  • Portfolio Allocation
Citation (ISO format)
HOESLI, Martin E., OIKARINEN, Elias, SERRANO, Camilo. Do Public Real Estate Returns Really Lead Private Returns? In: Journal of portfolio management, 2015, vol. 41, n° 6, p. 105–117. doi: 10.3905/jpm.2015.41.5.105
Main files (1)
Article (Published version)
accessLevelPrivate
Identifiers
Journal ISSN0095-4918
642views
0downloads

Technical informations

Creation30/11/2015 08:44:00
First validation30/11/2015 08:44:00
Update14/03/2023 23:56:55
Status update14/03/2023 23:56:54
Last indexation31/10/2024 02:13:30
All rights reserved by Archive ouverte UNIGE and the University of GenevaunigeBlack