Article (Author postprint) (587 Kb) - Limited access to UNIGE
Territorial Autonomy in the Shadow of Conﬂict: Too Little, Too Late?
|Published in||American Political Science Review. 2015, vol. 109, no. 2, p. 354-370|
|Abstract||This paper evaluates the e↵ect of territorial autonomy on the out- break of internal conﬂict by analyzing ethnic groups around the world since WWII. Shedding new light on an ongoing debate, we argue that the critics have overstated the case against autonomy policies. Our evidence indicates that decentralization has a signiﬁcant conﬂict- preventing e↵ect where there is no prior conﬂict history. In post- conﬂict settings, however, granting autonomy can still be helpful in combination with central power sharing arrangements. Yet, on its own, post-conﬂict autonomy concessions may be too little, too late. Accounting for endogeneity, we also instrument for autonomy in post- colonial states by exploiting that French, as opposed to British, colonial rule rarely relied on decentralized governance. This identiﬁcation strategy suggests that na¨ıve analysis tends to underestimate the pacifying inﬂuence of decentralization.|
|Keywords||Regional autonomy — Powersharing — Civil war|
|Project||FNS: 100017 143213|
|CEDERMAN, Lars-Erik et al. Territorial Autonomy in the Shadow of Conﬂict: Too Little, Too Late?. In: American Political Science Review, 2015, vol. 109, n° 2, p. 354-370. https://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/unige:42236|