Scientific article
English

Prospective comparison of clinical prognostic scores in elderly patients with pulmonary embolism

Published inJournal of thrombosis and haemostasis, vol. 10, no. 11, p. 2270-2276
Publication date2012
Abstract

Background: The Geneva Prognostic Score (GPS), the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI), and its simplified version (sPESI) are well known clinical prognostic scores for pulmonary embolism (PE).Objectives: To compare the prognostic performance of these scores in elderly patients with PE. Patients/Methods: In a multicenter Swiss cohort of elderly patients with venous thromboembolism, we prospectively studied 449 patients aged ≥65 years with symptomatic PE. The outcome was 30-day overall mortality. We dichotomized patients as low- vs. higher-risk in all three scores using the following thresholds: GPS scores ≤2 vs. >2, PESI risk classes I-II vs. III-V, and sPESI scores 0 vs. ≥1. We compared 30-day mortality in low- vs. higher-risk patients and the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Results: Overall, 3.8% of patients (17/449) died within 30 days. The GPS classified a greater proportion of patients as low risk (92% [413/449]) than the PESI (36.3% [163/449]) and the sPESI (39.6% [178/449]) (P<0.001 for each comparison). Low-risk patients based on the sPESI had a mortality of 0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0-2.1%) compared to 0.6% (95% CI 0-3.4%) for low-risk patients based on the PESI and 3.4% (95% CI 1.9-5.6%) for low-risk patients based on the GPS. The areas under the ROC curves were 0.77 (95%CI 0.72-0.81), 0.76 (95% CI 0.72-0.80), and 0.71 (95% CI 0.66-0.75), respectively (P=0.47). Conclusions: In this cohort of elderly patients with PE, the GPS identified a higher proportion of patients as low-risk but the PESI and sPESI were more accurate in predicting mortality. © 2012 International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis.

Citation (ISO format)
ZWIERZINA, D et al. Prospective comparison of clinical prognostic scores in elderly patients with pulmonary embolism. In: Journal of thrombosis and haemostasis, 2012, vol. 10, n° 11, p. 2270–2276. doi: 10.1111/j.1538-7836.2012.04929.x
Main files (1)
Article (Published version)
accessLevelRestricted
Identifiers
Journal ISSN1538-7836
695views
0downloads

Technical informations

Creation02/01/2013 9:20:00 AM
First validation02/01/2013 9:20:00 AM
Update time02/03/2025 11:34:58 AM
Status update02/03/2025 11:34:58 AM
Last indexation02/03/2025 11:41:07 AM
All rights reserved by Archive ouverte UNIGE and the University of GenevaunigeBlack