Scientific article
OA Policy
English

Spatial aggregation choice in the era of digital and administrative surveillance data

Published inPLOS digital health, vol. 1, no. 6, e0000039
Publication date2022-06
First online date2022-06-03
Abstract

Traditional disease surveillance is increasingly being complemented by data from non-traditional sources like medical claims, electronic health records, and participatory syndromic data platforms. As non-traditional data are often collected at the individual-level and are convenience samples from a population, choices must be made on the aggregation of these data for epidemiological inference. Our study seeks to understand the influence of spatial aggregation choice on our understanding of disease spread with a case study of influenza-like illness in the United States. Using U.S. medical claims data from 2002 to 2009, we examined the epidemic source location, onset and peak season timing, and epidemic duration of influenza seasons for data aggregated to the county and state scales. We also compared spatial autocorrelation and tested the relative magnitude of spatial aggregation differences between onset and peak measures of disease burden. We found discrepancies in the inferred epidemic source locations and estimated influenza season onsets and peaks when comparing county and state-level data. Spatial autocorrelation was detected across more expansive geographic ranges during the peak season as compared to the early flu season, and there were greater spatial aggregation differences in early season measures as well. Epidemiological inferences are more sensitive to spatial scale early on during U.S. influenza seasons, when there is greater heterogeneity in timing, intensity, and geographic spread of the epidemics. Users of non-traditional disease surveillance should carefully consider how to extract accurate disease signals from finer-scaled data for early use in disease outbreaks.

Affiliation entities Not a UNIGE publication
Funding
  • NIGMS NIH HHS [R01 GM123007]
Citation (ISO format)
LEE, Elizabeth et al. Spatial aggregation choice in the era of digital and administrative surveillance data. In: PLOS digital health, 2022, vol. 1, n° 6, p. e0000039. doi: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000039
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Identifiers
Journal ISSN2767-3170
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