Scientific article
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English

Survival probability of stochastic processes beyond persistence exponents

Published inNature communications, vol. 10, no. 1
First online date2019-07-05
Abstract

For many stochastic processes, the probability [Formula: see text] of not-having reached a target in unbounded space up to time [Formula: see text] follows a slow algebraic decay at long times, [Formula: see text]. This is typically the case of symmetric compact (i.e. recurrent) random walks. While the persistence exponent [Formula: see text] has been studied at length, the prefactor [Formula: see text], which is quantitatively essential, remains poorly characterized, especially for non-Markovian processes. Here we derive explicit expressions for [Formula: see text] for a compact random walk in unbounded space by establishing an analytic relation with the mean first-passage time of the same random walk in a large confining volume. Our analytical results for [Formula: see text] are in good agreement with numerical simulations, even for strongly correlated processes such as Fractional Brownian Motion, and thus provide a refined understanding of the statistics of longest first-passage events in unbounded space.

Funding
  • European Commission - First-passage times and optimization of target search strategies [277998]
Citation (ISO format)
LEVERNIER, Nicolas et al. Survival probability of stochastic processes beyond persistence exponents. In: Nature communications, 2019, vol. 10, n° 1. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-10841-6
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Article (Published version)
Identifiers
Additional URL for this publicationhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-10841-6
Journal ISSN2041-1723
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