Scientific article
OA Policy
English

Polygenic prediction of body mass index and obesity through the life course and across ancestries

Contributors23andMe Research Team; DiscovEHR (DiscovEHR and MyCode Community Health Initiative); eMERGE (Electronic Medical Records and Genomics Network); GPC-UGR; PRACTICAL Consortium; Understanding Society Scientific Group; VA Million Veteran Program
CollaboratorsFrayling, Timothyorcid
Published inNature medicine, vol. 31, no. 9, p. 3151-3168
Publication date2025-09
First online date2025-07-21
Abstract

Polygenic scores (PGSs) for body mass index (BMI) may guide early prevention and targeted treatment of obesity. Using genetic data from up to 5.1 million people (4.6% African ancestry, 14.4% American ancestry, 8.4% East Asian ancestry, 71.1% European ancestry and 1.5% South Asian ancestry) from the GIANT consortium and 23andMe, Inc., we developed ancestry-specific and multi-ancestry PGSs. The multi-ancestry score explained 17.6% of BMI variation among UK Biobank participants of European ancestry. For other populations, this ranged from 16% in East Asian-Americans to 2.2% in rural Ugandans. In the ALSPAC study, children with higher PGSs showed accelerated BMI gain from age 2.5 years to adolescence, with earlier adiposity rebound. Adding the PGS to predictors available at birth nearly doubled explained variance for BMI from age 5 onward (for example, from 11% to 21% at age 8). Up to age 5, adding the PGS to early-life BMI improved prediction of BMI at age 18 (for example, from 22% to 35% at age 5). Higher PGSs were associated with greater adult weight gain. In intensive lifestyle intervention trials, individuals with higher PGSs lost modestly more weight in the first year (0.55 kg per s.d.) but were more likely to regain it. Overall, these data show that PGSs have the potential to improve obesity prediction, particularly when implemented early in life.

Funding
  • NHLBI NIH HHS [75N92020D00002]
  • NIDDK NIH HHS [P30 DK063491]
  • NIGMS NIH HHS [P50 GM115305]
  • NIAAA NIH HHS [R01 AA015416]
  • NIA NIH HHS [R01 AG017917]
  • NCI NIH HHS [R01 CA080205]
  • NEI NIH HHS [R01 EY022310]
  • NINR NIH HHS [R01 NR013520]
  • NINDS NIH HHS [R01 NS105150]
  • FIC NIH HHS [R01 TW005596]
  • NHGRI NIH HHS [U01 HG008664]
  • NCATS NIH HHS [UL1 TR001878]
  • Dutch Research Council (NWO) [024.001.003]
  • ZonMw [95103007]
  • British Heart Foundation [CH/1996001/9454]
  • BLRD VA [I01 BX003340]
  • NIAMS NIH HHS [P30 AR072580]
  • NIDA NIH HHS [R01 DA012854]
  • NIMH NIH HHS [U24 MH068457]
  • Wellcome Trust [WT098051]
  • Intramural NIH HHS [Z01 CP010119]
  • Swiss National Science Foundation - Cardiovascular diseases and psychiatric disorders in the general population: a prospective follow-up study [122661]
  • Chief Scientist Office [CZB/4/276]
  • NCRR NIH HHS [P20 RR020649]
  • NICHD NIH HHS [R01 HD058886]
  • NCCDPHP CDC HHS [U01 DP003206]
  • European Commission - Novel Approach to Systematically Characterize Exercise- and Nutrient- responsive genes in Type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease [681742]
  • EPA [EP-C-15-001]
  • NIEHS NIH HHS [P30 ES010126]
  • NIH HHS [S10 OD030463]
  • NIMHD NIH HHS [U54 MD007593]
  • National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) [16/136/68]
  • WHI NIH HHS [75N92021D00004]
Citation (ISO format)
23andMe Research Team et al. Polygenic prediction of body mass index and obesity through the life course and across ancestries. In: Nature medicine, 2025, vol. 31, n° 9, p. 3151–3168. doi: 10.1038/s41591-025-03827-z
Main files (1)
Article (Published version)
Identifiers
Additional URL for this publicationhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-025-03827-z
Journal ISSN1078-8956
18views
252downloads

Technical informations

Creation04/11/2025 11:06:08
First validation04/11/2025 15:49:58
Update04/11/2025 15:49:58
Status update04/11/2025 15:49:58
Last indexation04/11/2025 15:49:59
All rights reserved by Archive ouverte UNIGE and the University of GenevaunigeBlack