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Entering into the “greenhouse century”: Recent record temperatures in Switzerland are comparable to the upper temperature quantiles in a greenhouse climate

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Published in Geophysical Research Letters. 2007, vol. 34, no. 16
Abstract This paper investigates the recent spate of recordbreaking warm seasons that have affected Switzerland in less than a decade and compares the seasonal statistics to those simulated for a ‘‘greenhouse-gas’’ climate by the end of the 21st century. The peaks of minimum and maximum temperatures observed during some the record seasons enter well into the 25%–75% temperature quantile range for the scenario climate simulated by a set of regional climate models. The anomalously warm seasons allow a ‘‘preview’’ of conditions that may occur with greater frequency in the future. The use of current data as a form of proxy for the future enables an assessment of the possible impacts on the natural and socio-economic environments, and can help in considering possible adaptation strategies to reduce some of the associated risks of climatic change.
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ISE Climat
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BENISTON, Martin. Entering into the “greenhouse century”: Recent record temperatures in Switzerland are comparable to the upper temperature quantiles in a greenhouse climate. In: Geophysical Research Letters, 2007, vol. 34, n° 16. https://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/unige:18442

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Deposited on : 2012-02-20

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