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Title

Entering into the “greenhouse century”: Recent record temperatures in Switzerland are comparable to the upper temperature quantiles in a greenhouse climate
Author
Beniston, Martin
Published in Geophysical Research Letters. 2007, vol. 34, no. 16
Abstract This paper investigates the recent spate of recordbreaking warm seasons that have affected Switzerland in less than a decade and compares the seasonal statistics to those simulated for a ‘‘greenhouse-gas’’ climate by the end of the 21st century. The peaks of minimum and maximum temperatures observed during some the record seasons enter well into the 25%–75% temperature quantile range for the scenario climate simulated by a set of regional climate models. The anomalously warm seasons allow a ‘‘preview’’ of conditions that may occur with greater frequency in the future. The use of current data as a form of proxy for the future enables an assessment of the possible impacts on the natural and socio-economic environments, and can help in considering possible adaptation strategies to reduce some of the associated risks of climatic change.
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Article (Published version) (496 Kb) - public document Free access
Other version: http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2007/2007GL030144.shtml
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Centres et instituts / Institut des sciences de l'environnement
Research groups ISE Pôle Sciences
ISE Climat
Citation
(ISO format) 		BENISTON, Martin. Entering into the “greenhouse century”: Recent record temperatures in Switzerland are comparable to the upper temperature quantiles in a greenhouse climate. In: Geophysical Research Letters, 2007, vol. 34, n° 16. https://archive-ouverte.unige.ch/unige:18442

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Deposited on : 2012-02-20

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