Scientific article
English

High-frequency estimation of Itô semimartingale baseline for Hawkes processes

Publication date2025
First online date2025
Abstract

We consider Hawkes self-exciting processes with a baseline driven by an Itô semimartingale with possible jumps. Under in-fill asymptotics, we charac- terize feasible statistics induced by central limit theory for empirical average and variance of local Poisson estimates. As a byproduct, we develop a test for the absence of a Hawkes component and a test for baseline constancy. Sim- ulation studies corroborate the asymptotic theory. An empirical application on high-frequency data of the E-mini S&P500 future contracts shows that the absence of a Hawkes component and baseline constancy is always rejected.

Citation (ISO format)
SCAILLET, Olivier et al. High-frequency estimation of Itô semimartingale baseline for Hawkes processes. In: Annals of Statistics, 2025.
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Article (Submitted version)
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  • PID : unige:182745
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Creation20/01/2025 16:54:32
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Update22/01/2025 08:50:18
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