Background: Surgical resection is the main treatment for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), but recurrence remains a concern. Adjuvant chemotherapy has been shown to have survival benefits for resected stage II and III NSCLC, but debate continues regarding its use in stage I NSCLC. High-risk features, such as tumor size and stage, are considered in deciding whether to administer adjuvant chemotherapy.

Methods: The data of 666,689 patients diagnosed with lung cancer from 2004 to 2016 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Ultimately, 26,160 patients diagnosed with stage I NSCLC were included in the study based on a screening procedure.

Results: After matching, 4,285 patients were identified, of whom 1,440 (33.6%) received chemotherapy. High-risk clinicopathologic features, including a high histologic grade, visceral pleural invasion (VPI), the examination of an insufficient number of lymph nodes (LNs), and limited resection, were independent risk factors for a poor prognosis. Chemotherapy significantly improved lung cancer-specific survival (LCSS) and overall survival (OS) in stage I patients with VPI [LCSS: hazard ratio (HR): 0.839, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.706-0.998, P=0.047; OS: HR: 0.711, 95% CI: 0.612-0.826, P<0.001], regardless of whether or not the patient had fewer than 11 LNs (LCSS: HR: 0.809, 95% CI: 0.664-0.986, P=0.04; OS: HR: 0.677, 95% CI: 0.570-0.803, P<0.001). Chemotherapy was only observed to improve OS for stage IB patients with a high histologic grade when combined with either or both of the following high-risk factors: the presence of VPI and fewer than 11 LNs examined.

Conclusions: The presence of VPI was the dominant predictor and the examination of an insufficient number of LNs was the secondary indicator, and a high histologic grade was a potential indicator of the need to administer chemotherapy in the treatment of stage I NSCLC.