Purpose: [¹⁸F]Flortaucipir PET is a powerful diagnostic and prognostic tool for Alzheimer's disease (AD). Tau status definition is mainly based in the literature on semi-quantitative measures while in clinical settings visual assessment is usually preferred. We compared visual assessment with established semi-quantitative measures to classify subjects and predict the risk of cognitive decline in a memory clinic population.

Methods: We included 245 individuals from the Geneva Memory Clinic who underwent [¹⁸F]flortaucipir PET. Amyloid status was available for 207 individuals and clinical follow-up for 135. All scans were blindly evaluated by three independent raters who visually classified the scans according to Braak stages. Standardized uptake value ratio (SUVR) values were obtained from a global meta-ROI to define tau positivity, and the Simplified Temporo-Occipital Classification (STOC) was applied to obtain semi-quantitatively tau stages. The agreement between measures was tested using Cohen's kappa (k). ROC analysis and linear mixed-effects models were applied to test the diagnostic and prognostic values of tau status and stages obtained with the visual and semi-quantitative approaches.

Results: We found good inter-rater reliability in the visual interpretation of tau Braak stages, independently from the rater's expertise (k>0.68, p<0.01). A good agreement was equally found between visual and SUVR-based classifications for tau status (k=0.67, p<0.01). All tau-assessment modalities significantly discriminated amyloid-positive MCI and demented subjects from others (AUC>0.80) and amyloid-positive from negative subjects (AUC>0.85). Linear mixed-effect models showed that tau-positive individuals presented a significantly faster cognitive decline than the tau-negative group (p<0.01), independently from the classification method.

Conclusion: Our results show that visual assessment is reliable for defining tau status and stages in a memory clinic population. The high inter-rater reliability, the substantial agreement, and the similar diagnostic and prognostic performance of visual rating and semi-quantitative methods demonstrate that [¹⁸F]flortaucipir PET can be robustly assessed visually in clinical practice.