Scientific article
OA Policy
English

Heat-related mortality in Europe during the summer of 2022

Errata
  • In the version of this article initially published, there was a typographical error in the second paragraph of the Discussion
  • DOI : 10.1038/s41591-023-02649-1
  • PMID : 37875570
Published inNature medicine, vol. 29, no. 7, p. 1857-1866
Publication date2023-07-10
First online date2023-07-10
Abstract

Over 70,000 excess deaths occurred in Europe during the summer of 2003. The resulting societal awareness led to the design and implementation of adaptation strategies to protect at-risk populations. We aimed to quantify heat-related mortality burden during the summer of 2022, the hottest season on record in Europe. We analyzed the Eurostat mortality database, which includes 45,184,044 counts of death from 823 contiguous regions in 35 European countries, representing the whole population of over 543 million people. We estimated 61,672 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 37,643–86,807) heat-related deaths in Europe between 30 May and 4 September 2022. Italy (18,010 deaths; 95% CI = 13,793–22,225), Spain (11,324; 95% CI = 7,908–14,880) and Germany (8,173; 95% CI = 5,374–11,018) had the highest summer heat-related mortality numbers, while Italy (295 deaths per million, 95% CI = 226–364), Greece (280, 95% CI = 201–355), Spain (237, 95% CI = 166–312) and Portugal (211, 95% CI = 162–255) had the highest heat-related mortality rates. Relative to population, we estimated 56% more heat-related deaths in women than men, with higher rates in men aged 0–64 (+41%) and 65–79 (+14%) years, and in women aged 80+ years (+27%). Our results call for a reevaluation and strengthening of existing heat surveillance platforms, prevention plans and long-term adaptation strategies.

Keywords
  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Europe / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Hot Temperature
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Mortality
  • Seasons
  • Spain / epidemiology
  • Young Adult
Funding
  • European Commission - Signs of Early Adaptation to Climate Change [865564]
  • European Commission - Open-Access Forecasting System of the Health Effects of Air Pollution [101123382]
  • European Commission - Climate Action To Advance HeaLthY Societies in Europe [101057131]
  • Ministry of Research and Universities of the Government of Catalonia [2021-SGR-01563]
  • Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation - program Ramón y Cajal [RYC2018-025446-I]
  • European Commission - Drivers of spatiotemporal variation in temperature-related morbidity and mortality in Europe: analysing early adaptation to climate change [101065876]
  • MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033 [CEX2018-000806-S]
  • European Commission - Operational Heat-Health-Social Early Warning System [101069213]
Citation (ISO format)
BALLESTER, Joan et al. Heat-related mortality in Europe during the summer of 2022. In: Nature medicine, 2023, vol. 29, n° 7, p. 1857–1866. doi: 10.1038/s41591-023-02419-z
Main files (1)
Article (Published version) - after correction
Secondary files (1)
Supplemental data - Supplementary Tables 1–3.
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Identifiers
Additional URL for this publicationhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-023-02419-z
Journal ISSN1078-8956
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151downloads

Technical informations

Creation20/10/2023 13:11:10
First validation07/02/2024 16:37:03
Update21/11/2025 15:04:30
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