Scientific article
English

U.S. metropolitan house price dynamics

Published inJournal of Urban Economics, vol. 105, no. 1, p. 54-69
Publication date2018
Abstract

Using data for 70 U.S. metropolitan areas, this study explores spatial heterogeneity in house price dynamics. We use recent advances in panel econometrics that allow for spatial heterogeneity, cross-sectional dependence, and non-stationary but cointegrated data. We test for spatial differences and analyze the relationship between the price elasticity of housing supply and the income elasticity of prices, as well as bubble size and duration. The long-term elasticity of house prices with respect to aggregate personal income averages 0.81, but varies considerably across metropolitan areas. The long-term income elasticity generally is greater in the more supplyinelastic metropolitan areas, and we show that bubble size and duration are inversely related to supply elasticity. Also short-term momentum and reversion dynamics show substantial spatial heterogeneity.

Keywords
  • House prices
  • Dynamics
  • Panel data
  • Spatial heterogeneity
  • Spatial dependence
  • Bubbles
Citation (ISO format)
OIKARINEN, Elias et al. U.S. metropolitan house price dynamics. In: Journal of Urban Economics, 2018, vol. 105, n° 1, p. 54–69. doi: 10.1016/j.jue.2018.03.001
Main files (1)
Article (Published version)
accessLevelPrivate
Identifiers
Journal ISSN0094-1190
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