Climate and land-use change impacts on potential solar photovoltaic power generation in the Black Sea region

Article Article scientifique Article Climate and land-use change impacts on potential solar photovoltaic power generation in the Black Sea region eng 2015 author Gunderson Ian 591696 author Goyette Stéphane 0000-0001-5199-5974 647994 author Gago Da Silva Ana 653557 author Quiquerez Loic 645337 author Lehmann Anthony 0000-0002-8279-8567 28253 70-81 10.1016/j.envsci.2014.04.013 1462-9011 http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S1462901114000859 Climate change is a naturally occurring phenomenon that has recently been greatly impacted by anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. One of the main contributing sectors to GHG emissions is the energy sector, due to its high dependency on fossil fuels. Renewable energy systems, notably solar energy, can be an effective climate change mitigation alternative. Photovoltaic (PV) technology provides an interesting method to produce electricity through a virtually infinite renewable resource at the human time scale: solar radiation. This study evaluates the current and future solar energy potential through the use of grid-connected PV power plants at the scale of countries within the Black Sea catchment. Simulated data are used to determine potential change in climate and land-use according to two different development scenarios. Incident solar radiation flux from re-analyses, spatial interpolation, and the application of the Delta change method are used to assess the current and future solar resource potential within this catchment. Potential sites suitable for PV power plants are selected following a Fuzzy logic approach, and thus the total potential solar energy through PV power generation can be determined. Results show that climate change will have little impact on the solar radiation resource, while land-use change induces more variability. However, regardless of the scenario followed, the solar energy potential is sufficient to provide an interesting contribution to the electricity generation mix of most countries within the Black Sea region. EnviroGRIDS Solar radiation Photovoltaic potential Climate change Land-use change Black Sea catchment Dewey 333.7-333.9 Dewey 550 18 Institut des sciences de l'environnement 0DB 41 Département F.-A. Forel des sciences de l'environnement et de l'eau 153 false 647 Climatologie 673 Envirospace Lab 943 ISE Climat 945 ISE Energie 941 ISE Pôle Informatique environnementale 938 ISE Pôle Sciences 659 Systèmes énergétiques 1057 TIGERS Environmental science & policy 46 3959d2cd-923a-4797-8a69-888b35dc2c95 Article (Published version) Restricted 1-s2.0-S1462901114000859-main.pdf 3184802 application/pdf restrictedAccess Centres et instituts / Institut des sciences de l'environnement Faculté des sciences / Section des sciences de la Terre et de l'Environnement / Département F.-A. Forel des sciences de l'environnement et de l'eau

Title	Published in	Year	Views	Downloads

Climate and land-use change impacts on potential solar photovoltaic power generation in the Black Sea region	Environmental science & policy	2015	1,370	23
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Gunderson, Ian