Scientific article
OA Policy
English

Anticipatory Anxiety and Wishful Thinking

Published inThe American economic review, vol. 114, no. 4, p. 926-960
Publication date2024-04-01
Abstract

Across five experiments (N = 1,714), we test whether people engage in wishful thinking to alleviate anxiety about adverse future outcomes. Participants perform pattern recognition tasks in which some patterns may result in an electric shock or a monetary loss. Diagnostic of wishful thinking, participants are less likely to correctly identify patterns that are associated with a shock or loss. Wishful thinking is more pronounced under more ambiguous signals and only reduced by higher accuracy incentives when participants’ cognitive effort reduces ambiguity. Wishful thinking disappears in the domain of monetary gains, indicating that negative emotions are important drivers of the phenomenon. (JEL C91, D12, D83, D91)

Research groups
Citation (ISO format)
ENGELMANN, Jan B. et al. Anticipatory Anxiety and Wishful Thinking. In: The American economic review, 2024, vol. 114, n° 4, p. 926–960. doi: 10.1257/aer.20191068
Main files (2)
Article (Published version)
accessLevelPublic
Article (Submitted version)
accessLevelRestricted
Identifiers
Additional URL for this publicationhttps://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/10.1257/aer.20191068
Journal ISSN0002-8282
150views
306downloads

Technical informations

Creation04/23/2024 3:13:00 PM
First validation05/02/2024 8:35:52 AM
Update time05/02/2024 8:35:52 AM
Status update05/02/2024 8:35:52 AM
Last indexation11/01/2024 9:24:27 AM
All rights reserved by Archive ouverte UNIGE and the University of GenevaunigeBlack