Scientific article
Open access

Effect of the Great Recession on regional mortality trends in Europe

Published inNature Communications, vol. 10, no. 1, 679
Publication date2019

Previous studies have consistently shown the recurrent relationship between macroeconomic cycles and changes in mortality trends, so that recessions are generally associated with periods of faster life expectancy rise, and periods of economic growth with slower reductions or even increases in mortality trends. Here we analyze the link between annual per capita estimates of gross domestic product and daily atmospheric temperatures and standardized death rates for a large ensemble of European regions to describe the effect of the Great Recession on annual and seasonal changes in all-cause human mortality trends. Results show that the countries and regions with the largest (smallest) economic slowdown were also those with the largest (smallest) strengthening of the declining mortality trend. This procyclical evolution of mortality rates is found to be stronger during the cold part of the year, showing that it also depends on the seasonal timing of the underlying causes of death.

  • European Commission - Arctic Impact on Weather and Climate [727852]
  • European Commission - Pan-European Urban Climate Services [730004]
Citation (ISO format)
BALLESTER, Joan et al. Effect of the Great Recession on regional mortality trends in Europe. In: Nature Communications, 2019, vol. 10, n° 1, p. 679. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-08539-w
Main files (1)
Article (Published version)
Secondary files (1)
ISSN of the journal2041-1723

Technical informations

Creation04/01/2019 1:10:00 PM
First validation04/01/2019 1:10:00 PM
Update time03/15/2023 6:17:03 PM
Status update03/15/2023 6:17:02 PM
Last indexation02/12/2024 1:06:26 PM
All rights reserved by Archive ouverte UNIGE and the University of GenevaunigeBlack