en
Scientific article
English

Monetary credibility vs. Voter approval: Political institutions and exchange-rate stabilization during crises

Published inEconomics and politics, vol. 22, no. 3, p. 392-418
Publication date2010
Abstract

This paper analyzes how political institutions affect the execution of exchange-rate policy. By focusing on policy-makers' responses to the emergence of speculative pressure on their currencies, we argue that the effect of democratic institutions on exchange-rate stability is likely to be conditioned by the officially announced exchange-rate regime. Officially fixed exchange rates are the main instrument of autocrats to signal commitment to long-term stability. Autocratic governments with strictly fixed exchange rates are thus more likely to defend their exchange rates than autocrats with an intermediate regime because the latter implicitly signal that they care less about monetary stability. In contrast, democrats defend more often in intermediately than in fully fixed official regimes by using a combination of external and internal adjustments, which reduce the negative effects of a devaluation on voters. Our analysis of 189 currency crises between 1975 and 1999 supports this conditional effect.

Citation (ISO format)
SATTLER, Thomas, WALTER, Stefanie. Monetary credibility vs. Voter approval: Political institutions and exchange-rate stabilization during crises. In: Economics and politics, 2010, vol. 22, n° 3, p. 392–418. doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0343.2010.00367.x
Main files (1)
Article (Published version)
accessLevelRestricted
Identifiers
ISSN of the journal0954-1985
409views
3downloads

Technical informations

Creation11/06/2015 10:48:00 AM
First validation11/06/2015 10:48:00 AM
Update time03/14/2023 11:48:25 PM
Status update03/14/2023 11:48:24 PM
Last indexation05/02/2024 4:36:23 PM
All rights reserved by Archive ouverte UNIGE and the University of GenevaunigeBlack